Week 10 will come to a close in a few hours and I find myself at a crossroad. Tonight will be the second double eviction of the season and depending on how it plays out, we will have a good idea of what the future may hold for the remaining houseguests. However, the fate of each specific houseguest is largely based on who goes home tonight.
Additionally, depending on who goes home first will decide who actually had a productive week and who didn’t. So instead of picking out my “weekly warriors”, I’m going to give a couple different scenarios of what could happen tonight and what impact it will have on the remaining players.
As of right now, we know that either Julia Nolan or Meg Maley will be leaving the house. The vote is still slightly up in the air but if I were to put a percentage on it (Vanessa would appreciate this), I would say it’s a 70% chance Meg will be evicted. Yes, Steven Moses and John McGuire have spoken about flipping the vote and sending Julia home, but from the last conversation I heard between the two of them, it was “too risky.”
So let’s say Meg does go home. Who does it help and who does it hurt? Well, it would obviously benefit both Liz Nolan and Austin Matelson. They would be a strong three-person alliance with only 7 people left. If one of them then went on to win the HOH competition following the first eviction, they would be left with only six houseguests, making them 50% of the total players remaining (There goes my percentages again.) And if by some stroke of luck, they go back-to-back and win the second HOH, they are guaranteed top 5 and will most likely have at least one member in the final two, if not two.
Obviously the above-mentioned scenario would be a great situation for the Austwins but what about the remaining houseguests? If anyone other than James Huling wins the HOH following the first eviction, he would most likely be the second member to leave the house, unless he was able to win the power of veto. Vanessa would be left with her newly formed alliance, consisting of Steven and John.
This is where the second HOH would be absolutely critical. If Vanessa’s side won, then one of the twins and/or Austin would go home next. If Austin or one of the twins won, then Steven or John would probably go (It would most likely be John unless he won the veto). Either way, it would put Vanessa at an extreme disadvantage for the following week if either of her new allies were sent the jury house.
Then there is the other (highly unlikely) side of the coin. If Julia Nolan is sent home, this becomes an extremely successful week for Vanessa Rousso. The Austwins trio will officially be broken up and Vanessa would now be in the majority alliance with Steven and John. At that point, it would be equally important for one of them to win because if Austin or Liz won, two of the three members (John, Steven, and Vanessa) would be on the block with the remaining member being an option as a replacement nominee. So it’s a risky move but one that could result in a $500,000 outcome.
If there is a time to target and evict Vanessa, it would be tonight … As it would restrict the amount of time to allow Vanessa to use her crocodile tears and emotional manipulation on the HG’s, as they usually only have about a commercial break or two between the HOH, NOMS, POV, and Voting …
Of course it is. Too bad James is the only one with the cojones to nominate her. And even if he did, I’m still not sure they’d send her out. Clearly, following the lead of someone who lies every time their lips move(and everyone in there knows it) is a brilliant strategy
Ya, honestly I don’t know Vanessa would go home no matter who she is up against. If it is one of the Austwins they might view them as a bigger threat than Vanessa, and if it’s James or Meg they might go over Vanessa. Tonight is there best shot because she wont have time to feed people BS about why she is best for there game, but they will probably miss it.
John and Steve need to realize iof they flip the vote, then get HoH along with James they could get out Vanessa quickly and they’d be in a pretty good spot going forward.
Somebody(James) has to get Van on the block next to Liz after the veto. In that scenario, Van is gone.
You’re right–what you suggest is exactly what they should do. The question is will they. Unless James does what I suggested above, I’m pretty sure the answer is a big flat no. Too afraid to do anything, even though the situation screams for it to happen. Why all these people continue to put any value in anything Vanessa says is mind boggling to me.
I agree it makes no sense why they listen to her. They are just hoping and praying when all of Vanessa’s BS is said and done they are the one person she brings along. They aren’t playing for themselves, they are playing for Vanessa and hope she is playing for them, which she isn’t.
As for James, at one point James said he’d put up 2 of the Austwins, and another point he said he’d put up Vanessa and Steve, why Steve, who knows, the best option is to get her next to Liz, and even is JMac/Steve vote to keep her James could break the tie.
But I don’t see any of this happening unless James win HoH and even then idk… They are all scared sheep playing for Vanessa to win.
I agree. Can’t see Van winning a jury vote due to her “abrasive” methods of eviction, but she has to be the odds on favorite to be in F2
If Steve/Jmac save Meg tonight – James won’t nominate them. He’ll target Vanessa and Austin probably, though I’d prefer it was Liz. :)
New post out, Steve doesn’t wanna vote out Juila…
Ya, in theory lol.
If she’s up against Liz, she goes. Regardless of how Steve/Jmac vote, Austin/Julia VTE Vanessa to save Liz and James has the deciding vote. :)
Gosh, could someone find wtpvideo and tell him to read Derrick’s synopsis of current situation in the House, seems Derrick would have more insight & experience then any of us and probably knows a little about what he’s saying.
I see Vanessa’s view of putting Julia up instead of Liz, that would have just pissed off the Austwins more plus her plan was to remove James or Meg (bust them up). James argument when him & Meg spoke to Van only strengthened her resolve b/c James basically said he’d go after her and why would she leave Meg in there with him to vote her out were she OTB.
lol I was gonna say G-Man! (regarding wtpvideo’s argument)
Oh, my God is that dude a pain or what?!? In his mind, his scenarios & arguments are the ONLY ones that are correct – because HE’S in the BB Habitat, you know! Jeez!!
I would love for Steve to come to his senses and decide to send Julia packing. If he makes this decision, I think that John would follow his lead. I know that both John and Steve are playing Van’s lackey allies this week, but they are both making noises of being wildcards and more with each other. So, once Van is a sitting duck again, I don’t see them being loyal to her, unless it’s convenient for them. If she is somehow targeted, they’d drop her like a lead balloon.
IF Julia gets evicted, which I agree is still a long-shot, then we’d have 3 sets of duos with Van on the bottom or at least shaky with 2 of the duos. That would make for an interesting DE! James/Meg would go for a big target, which could be Austin, Liz, or Van. Steve/John may go for Austin/Liz or James/Meg. Austin/Liz may go for Van, if they think she was behind getting Julia out, or John/Steve, if they think it was them. Although, Austin may not be that upset at Julia leaving. Anyway you look at it, if Julia gets evicted and Van can’t play in the DE HoH, it’s anyone’s game again! DE HoH, PoV and 2nd HoH would be even more exciting!
After the discussion that vanessa and James had where she freaked out on him for criticizing her game, I think she sealed her fate as his target. James still seems a little skewed as to who are allies and who aren’t but at this point in the game he really doesn’t have any allies. Sides were chosen and he and meg were left out.
Steve and JMac need to vote out Julia, align with James and Meg, and get the HoH and get someone out during the DE and have the numbers 4v2 in there favor going forward.
Yes, yes they do. Heard Steve whisper to JMac last night as I was falling asleep, “Would Meg & James work with us?,” and I could hear the collective BB Fandom screaming, “YES, THEY WOULD!!!!” Hahahaha
Austwins need to be targeted or it’s thier game to win
I don’t get ur second scenario. If Julia goes home and Liz or Austin win hoh why would it be van Steve or john that has to go up? I can see Liz being pissed and wanting Steve and John up for flipping but they could just as easily throw meg and James back up. I think they would still rather get James out before John or Steve because as Austin says James is his only physical threat. However Liz would be so pissed at Steve and John for voting out Julia if she wins hoh I think they would both GI up
Like you mentioned, maybe they’d just be so pissed, plus they already wanted JMac out his week, so a flip plus they think he’s gunning for them gives them good ‘reason’ to target him, and putting up steve, his alli, just like Meg and James where if they miss there main target, they can at least hit there alli.
Not much time to *think* at DE. :)
And hope James goes home
The time to break up the Austwins-Vanessa pact from hell was long ago. James and Meg, how can you just be catching on now?
Still, the way Vanessa blew up on James is so detestable, I pray that the psycho-witch Vanessa goes down tonight.
Funny how last night they were like ‘It’s funny to think 3/4 weeks ago we voted to keep her’. You think? You are all idiots and STILL haven’t gotten her out.
And Ya Vanessa, whenever someone doesn’t like something she has done she cries and yells at them. They do it nice, explain what happened, and she can’t handle it and just breaks down and explodes. It’s so disgusting to watch. i want her out in hopes the audience will boo her lol. But they wont, they are probably too scared of her and will do what she wants lol.
You do realize that the audiences is made up of studio employees and invited guests. Nothing unscripted happens on BB. Even the boos occasionally sprinkled into the applause is geared for our entertainment.
The exact points I have been trying make since Meg was left on block and Julia went up even before she did and why Vanessa should put her up. Why Meg was crucial for jher game as anyone else to get out. At this point whether it competitor or just vote against you it it is important. Some viewers let emotions over ride that.
I agree, a vote is a vote at this point, and Meg would vote her out 100%. keeping Julia is better for that reason(to a point) and the fact that they have a F2 together and Julia wont ever win anything(not that Meg would) but Julia at least isn’t an automatic vote against her and it keeps the Austwins happy.
100% agree :) #flipflipflipflip
Need the flip to take out Julia then a HoH reign to take out Vanessa!
James is the only person who would try. Needless to say, if he doesn’t win HOH or veto tonight, he’s almost certainly gone. Hopefully he does–not just because I’m rooting for him, but it makes for good TV to shake things up tonight
Yup, sad but true.
We can hope. Not likely, because just about everyone left marches to the beat of Van’s drum to some extent except for James.
Hope is all I have, Mike. :)
If it’s just rolling a ball, it’ll be pretty random, not sure how anyone has a better shot than anyone else… And ya, unless James wins HoH and gets Vanessa next to Liz, I don’t see Vanessa going home.
You’re right, it is random. It would be a hoot if Julia does go home and Meg wins HOH!! That would be too funny!! I can’t see Meg knowing what to do at that point!!
If that miracle were to happen, then James would be basically making her decision for her. Liz and Vanessa would go up.
I think that rolling comp could be the Veto, HoH most likely mental wit 2nd HoH either nd endurance comp or physical one
Good luck houseguests (Julie C.voice) lol
I wss right lol Liz won HoH ha!
I wss right on both HoH for Liz & Steve wins hah!
I agree totally with Derrick .
Watching Steve tonight on feeds I feel its very possible he will flip the vote. He’s actually so nervous that he’s thrown up tonight. He wouldn’t be like that voting out Meg. From what I see I think Julia goes tonight, and as long as James/Meg/Steve/JMac win HOH I think Liz or Vanessa would follow. Tonight’s episode should be interesting!
New post up, Steve saying he doesn’t wanana flip.
He will change his mind many times in the next few hours. If there’s going to be a flip it will involve Vanessa in the final moments before eviction. She plays her poker cards close to her vest while it’s crazy eights throughout the week. That’s her strategy. Sadly, Steve has adopted her as a mother figure and it’s child abuse! This whole night hinges on whether or not Steve takes off his training wheels and risks a scraped knee. Will be fun to watch either way.
Tonight would be a great time to get Vanessa out because she won’t have time to whine n cry n carry on like an idiot n just show the dumb twit the door,ahhh phooey splat on her,don’t ever come back Vanessa.
Vanessa is small potatoes at this point. She can go after Julia is gone tonight and Austin is out. I’ve already set out the plan in my comment below…lol.
It’s time to separate the mice from the men. James, John and Steve can either turn this house upside down (which carries risk) by voting out Julia, or they can wait to be picked off one by one (guaranteed). They can do it outright or they can set a trap to throw some suspicion on Austin (different ways this can be done) which will cause a rift between the gagbirds. They can do this with or without Vanessa on board. This should be told to Vanessa, not ask for her approval (enough already). Vanessa should be put in her place tonight since she can not compete in the next HOH. All this speculating and devising scenarios that may never happen is making Steve physically ill and will affect him emotionally and physically in the comps. An alliance with James, John, Steve and Meg is a good risk against Austin and Liz especially if they are fighting…there is tension there already. No one knows where Vanessa’s head is so Vanessa should be called out to pick a side if (only if) they take out Julia tonight. Which ever way they go there will be casualties, not everyone can get to the final two, but if they don’t do it now they are all guaranteed to be losers.
If the Austwins are on the block I don’t see how under any circumstances that James goes up as a replacement nominee. If the Austwins are on the block it’s because an anti Austwin person put them there and of course the remaining Austwin would go up as replacement.
It would be cool, if Julia stays (hope not), that she would win and put up Liz and Austin to get Austin out. That would make good tv…and isn’t that what the Austwins are all about. I can dream can’t I?
I want the flip, so Van Van can finally know what it feels like to REALLY be alone. Alone and powerless and praying for Steve (and maybe, maybe JMac) to win HOH and ctying and begging not to go up regardless. Anyone else and her goose will be cooked. It’s really simple for Steve, is there risk involved? Oh yeah, but it’s time for him to decide if final 5 is enough, or is the greater risk to that gutless goal that could give him a legit chance at all the marbles worth it? Faint heart n’er won fair maiden, and it damn sure won’t win 500K.
It all seems to come down to Steve growing a pair.
He tried but it made him sick. Haha.
The object of Big Brother is to win the 1st place prize money at the end, right? How does Steve see voting for Julia and following Vanessa as a way to meet that goal? Why is everyone in this game helping Vanessa work her magic and not see for themselves, that in order for them to win THEIR OWN GAME, they have to make moves. How does James not go talk to Steve and Jmac and say “Look, I know this is a long shot, but if you flip your vote and keep Meg, the four of us can complete together to take out the Austwins and Van.” 4 v 4. Then, if they win HOH they put up and evict whoever they want, they would have the votes. Worst case scenario they lose the HOH and one of them goes home, then they just try again next week.
John doesn’t want to play, he just wants it handed to him.
Still rooting for Johnny Mac and Steve to win tonight’s HOH. They will make their move because they have to. It should be Liz and James on the block with a possible Austin backdoor if one gets off. That insures you break that side of the Big Brother House for good. I would not trust any of those 3 at all. Hopefully, Steve and Johnny Mac win back to back HOHs then, they can finish off the job in two weeks. Then, focus on taking out Vanessa. Then, Julia and Final 2. Go do it guys!