Three Houseguests remain on Big Brother 16 ahead of tonight’s season finale where one of them will be evicted, one will snag $50K, and another will be crowned the winner of Big Brother! It’s time for the last predictions of the season.
We know which two players will end up in third round of the final HoH comp and while I’m fairly confident who will be moving on the Final 2 let’s take a look at all the possibilities.
Derrick and Cody will face off in the third round of the HoH competition with the winner casting the sole vote to evict. My prediction for this portion of the night gives an edge to Derrick in Round 3, but Cody has been no slouch in mental comps so he has a solid chance here.
I expect Victoria to be evicted no matter which guy wins, but there is always the chance for someone to change their mind and surprise us here. I’ll include Victoria in the Jury vote breakdown in case she makes it, but the real impact there would be on who Victoria sits next to rather than her own chances at winning.
Scenario #1 – Cody Vs Victoria in F2:
What if Cody wins R3 and surprises us by Neda’ing Derrick. Cody would move on as the Final HoH with Victoria sitting by his side as they plead their cases to the Jury.
Votes for Cody: Jocasta, Hayden, Nicole, Zach, Donny, Christine, Frankie, Caleb, and Derrick
Votes for Victoria: …
There are those in the Jury who wouldn’t be crazy about voting for Cody, but not at the cost of voting for Victoria. A vote for Victoria will come off as a bitter decision and while those are always possible and never a big surprise I don’t see them as likely.
Victoria made close friends with Nicole during her return, but Nicole is too much of a fan to vote for someone who didn’t win a single individual comp and was only at the end thanks to being dragged along. Derrick was her other close friend, but he wouldn’t vote for her over Cody.
If Cody takes Victoria he wins 9-0, but I don’t think he’ll do it.
Scenario #2 – Derrick Vs Victoria in F2:
Derrick has been suggesting for days now that he’ll take Cody to the end because he thinks it’s better for his game, but is it? The guys promised earlier that if any of them took Victoria they’d vote for Victoria, but wasn’t that Derrick’s own suggestion possibly to cloud his plan to keep her around? All the same I think it’s an empty threat and the guys wouldn’t change their minds or votes to Victoria.
Votes for Derrick: Jocasta, Hayden, Nicole, Zach, Donny, Christine, Frankie, Caleb, and Cody
Votes for Victoria: …
Same as before there’s just no reason to vote for Victoria outside of the guys’ promise of retribution over such a betrayal. Derrick could easily talk them down from that ledge by arguing he made tough decisions all season and evicted allies in the final weeks so why stop at the last stage?
I believe this is Derrick’s easiest path to winning the game by a landslide but I don’t see him taking it.
Scenario #3 – Derrick Vs Cody in F2:
Our most likely scenario for the night has the Hitmen at the end together as they face the Jury and try to summarize their entire 100 days of work into a minute long speech. Both have friends on the Jury who want them to win. Even those who may have felt animosity on their eviction night are likely to have calmed and can now see their moves for what they were as part of the game being played.
I don’t think we’ll get a landslide here like in the previous two scenarios. This could be close and I don’t see it being a shutout by either player. Derrick winning the last HoH would give him a nice edge to his argument, but I don’t think it’s an absolute must for his game.
Votes that I think are most likely a lock for Cody are from Christine and Donny. Donny told us he would vote for Nicole, Caleb, or Cody “because they are good-hearted people.” Then as for Christine I think her behavior all season strongly suggests she’d support Cody come hell or high water. Don’t forget that Derrick was HoH the round she was evicted and that won’t help his case with her either.
Caleb’s vote is a little uncertain for me at this point. He said he felt closer to Derrick but then also blamed Derrick more than Cody for his eviction despite Cody being the one to send him out the door. I think Caleb would come around and vote for Derrick due to that sense of belonging and proving his own loyalty, but I’m not 100% confident until we hear what he has to say in the Jury roundtable.
Jocasta is another uncertain one for me. She said she’d go after Christine, Frankie, or Caleb if she got back in the house which doesn’t give us much to go on with Cody and Derrick. Really she was pretty neutral with most HGs but seemed closest to Donny. If Donny goes for Cody then she might too, but if she’s neutral going in to the decision she may give Derrick the credit for his strong game moves.
That leaves five outstanding votes which is also all either HG needs to claim the crown as the winner of Big Brother 16. Hayden, Nicole, Zach, Frankie, and presumably Victoria in this scenario. I’m ready to put all of them in Derrick’s column.
Hayden is no fan of Cody’s and Nicole has professed her support to Derrick. She even went so far as to falsely promise votes to other HGs to throw them off Derrick’s trail. Nicole is solidly Team Derrick. Zach has repeatedly said he wants to see Derrick win the game so I have little doubt with him either. Victoria just last night promised Derrick that even if he evicts her in the finale that she’ll still vote for him.
Ahh and then there’s Frankie. During his final hours in the game he went before the guys and proclaimed that he would be the almighty decision maker on this season. Caleb told him to shut up. Cody insisted he wasn’t “f**king Jesus.” Derrick kept his mouth shut. This isn’t the reason alone Derrick will get Frankie’s vote, but it was part of his overall Jury Management that he ran from Day One. Derrick avoided direct conflicts and worked to “play nice” at all times. Combine that with Derrick’s outgoing act of kindness and support toward Frankie plus their Team America bond and I’d say we’ve settled that mystery.
Votes for Derrick: Hayden, Nicole, Zach, Frankie, and Victoria
Votes for Cody: Donny, Christine
Toss-up Votes: Jocasta, Caleb
I’d say the base vote is 5-2 with two votes up for grabs. I’d lean towards splitting those last two with Derrick getting Caleb’s and Cody getting Jocasta’s, but I’m waiting to hear more from them tonight.
Derrick should have this in the bag, but remember that we see everything while the HGs are left to speculate on their own partial information. It’s not going to be an easy decision and I think the Jurors will all carefully consider their options. But I’ll tell you what, if Derrick loses to Cody on this one I’ll be very, very disappointed.