Big Brother 17: How Much Longer Will Vanessa Last?

From outside the Big Brother 17 house looking in it seems like Vanessa Rousso has to be about to run out of time in the Big Brother house, but there are a few things going on that may keep her around longer than you think. Or hope.

Don't look now, but Vanessa Rousso might be here awhile
Don’t look now, but Vanessa Rousso might be here awhile – Source: CBS All Access

Last week Becky Burgess took a big swing at Vanessa with her nominations and targeting, but when that didn’t work out she knocked a huge hole in the bottom of the S.S. Vanessa. Now it’s all about timing.

I know a lot of Big Brother fans are hoping for Vanessa to be evicted in a Backdoor scenario this week, but I promise you that isn’t going to happen. Her paranoia would have to crank up to 11 and cause serious concerns for Austin and the twins for there to be any movement on the front. Even if she caused that much trouble the Austwins would have to take a serious detour from their current plan.

After everything they learned from Becky and how Vanessa has shifted around the house this season and then combined that with John’s reveal of her latest fake outrage they have agreed to help her out the door. But don’t expect the Austwins to be the ones to do it.

By letting Vanessa survive this week the Austwins have a house wide target that isn’t them. Next week whoever gets power will be going after Vanessa instead. Of course there’s a risk of Vanessa escaping danger and them becoming plan B, but it’s not the worst idea for their game if they don’t.

What if Vanessa gets HoH as Big Brother luck would make us anticipate? Then the Austwins are again safe for an extra week. That’s why they’re playing nice and happy with Vanessa despite being on to her. Vanessa would go after Johnny Mac next week or take a Goblin out as her plan B. Again, not a bad deal for Austin and the twins.

But say Vanessa doesn’t get HoH next week. Is she a done deal then? Maybe not.

If Julia or Austin get HoH do we think next week would be handled any differently than this one? Doubtful. They’ll just let JMac go or maybe a Goblin. There’d still be no reason to take out such an erratic and potentially bitter Houseguest themselves.

Okay, but what if it’s JMac or a Goblin? And here I’m assuming Becky is evicted this week as planned, but if not then swap her out for John. Either of these situations would put the target back on Vanessa and I imagine she’d go then, except for another argument: returning Juror.

I can hear it now: if we wait one more week to send Vanessa to Jury then maybe she won’t have a chance to come back. Julie told them a Juror could return and they’ll likely expect it to include the first four Jurors since that’s usually the pool size on these opportunities. That might be enough to get them to delay her eviction.

This could go on for a few weeks, especially if you flip the order of them first delaying it due to the returning Juror and then the Austwins win HoH the following week. Soon we’ll get close enough to the end that someone will decide she’s as good as a Meg to be sitting next to in the F2 because not enough players would vote for her. Not saying that’s true, but it won’t surprise me to hear it said.

Sure, Vanessa could go next week, but I see a lot of paths that keep her around for weeks to come.


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