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Big Brother 19: Final 3 To Final 2 Scenarios [Analysis]

It’s hard to believe that by Thursday night we’ll have the Big Brother 19 Final 3. And since things have been playing out as expected the past several weeks, we already know who we can expect in that Final 3. But what about Final 2? That’s where it gets tricky.

Alex is going home this week and has already learned her fate. And unless a miracle happens and Kevin wins the next HOH, he’s going home Thursday, leaving Josh, Paul and Christmas as our Final 3. But what happens after the final HOH competition? Who is cutting whom? Let’s take a look.

If Paul wins the final HOH

Paul has been leaning toward taking Josh to the Final 2 since it seems most of the jury hates Josh. But Josh has been pushing Paul’s buttons lately so that could influence Paul’s decision. I think Paul knows if he cuts Christmas she won’t be bitter, but if he cuts Josh, he could lose that jury vote. And we know Paul doesn’t want to lose any jury votes after last season.

I think Paul takes Josh. If he does take Josh, can he beat Josh? I think so. I think Paul would have jury votes from Mark, Elena, Alex, Matt, Raven, Kevin, Christmas and even Cody. The only person I could see voting Josh would be Jason. But this is really early to call, considering we’ve seen very little jury footage.

If Paul were to take Christmas, I think he would possibly lose votes from Jason and Josh, but he would still win.

If Josh wins the final HOH

Josh has said for weeks that Christmas is his No. 1. Despite doing literally all of Paul’s dirty work, he’s apparently more devoted to her. And we’ve seen Josh grow more and more irritated with Paul’s gameplay and less and less likely to take him to the Final 2. I do think if Josh wins the final HOH, he cuts Paul and takes Christmas. But can Josh beat Christmas? That’s super tough, but I think he can, and the No. 1 reason would be that he was the person to take out Paul.

How the jury would vote in that scenario gets confusing, though. I think Cody, Kevin and Paul might vote Christmas. But Paul is all too familiar with a bitter vote, so maybe not. At any rate, I think Josh beats Christmas, but it could be close.

And as I said above, if it’s Paul and Josh at the end, Paul wins.

If Christmas wins the final HOH

We’ve already covered the scenarios for Christmas, so the only thing left to discuss is who would she take. And there’s no question there. It’s Paul. She’s already hinted to Josh that she’d take Paul and she seems like her goal in the game is to actually make sure Paul wins. Love is a crazy thing.

This is an early assessment and we’ll know more in the coming days. Expect another analysis closer to finale night. Who do you think can win in the end?

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